Petrol price in Nigeria: what Nigerians expect next
Pump prices in Lagos and across Nigeria, as forecast by thousands of everyday Nigerians and settled against official and on-the-ground prices.
Open forecasts
- Petrol price: Will Dangote cut its petrol gantry price below ₦1,300 per litre by 12 November?
- Will NNPC stations in Lagos sell petrol at ₦1,330 per litre or less before 15 November?
- Will the price difference between the highest and lowest listed petrol depot prices across Lagos, Rivers and Delta exceed ₦100 per litre on any November market update?
What Nigerians expected vs what happened
- Will at least three independently owned filling stations in Lagos State publicly display petrol pump prices of ₦1,250 per litre or below on the same day between November 3 and November 7, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will at least three independently operated filling stations in Lagos record a retail petrol price increase of at least ₦50 per litre from their verified 27 October price by 1 November 2026? — outcome NO
- Will at least one CNG refuelling station in Niger State resume dispensing gas to customers by October 31, 2026, following the reported prolonged shortage? — outcome NO
- Will NMDPRA publish a new monthly petroleum factsheet by October 31, 2026, reporting domestic petrol receipts above 35.87 million litres per day? — outcome NO
- Will Nigeria's median petrol depot price exceed ₦1,360 per litre on or before October 27, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will at least 3 out of 5 preselected petrol stations in Lagos advertise petrol below ₦1,300 per litre on the same survey day before October 31, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will the published LPG depot price at any of the preselected major Nigerian cooking-gas depots increase by at least 5% between October 15 and October 23, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will diesel reach ₦2,000 per litre at any Lagos depot before October 20, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will at least three filling-station brands in Lagos sell petrol at ₦1,350 per litre or less at independently verifiable outlets before October 18, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will Dangote Refinery's diesel gantry price remain at or below ₦1,700 per litre through October 14? — outcome NO
- Will diesel's reported Nigerian depot price exceed ₦1,900 per litre before September 20, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will petrol pump prices in at least two major Nigerian commercial hubs rise by 10% or more from their prevailing September 4, 2026 levels before September 25, 2026, driven by higher supply, crude-oil, or refinery costs? — outcome YES
- Will IPMAN-affiliated filling stations in at least five Nigerian states reduce their petrol pump prices before September 20, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will the national average petrol pump price rise by at least 5% from its September 2 level before 11:59 PM WAT on September 15, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will the average petrol pump price in Nigeria rise above ₦1,250 per litre before September 5? — outcome YES
- Will petrol sell for below ₦1,000 per litre at any major Nigerian filling-station network before August 31, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will the Federal Government announce a new measure to improve domestic petrol supply or stabilise petrol prices before 11:59 PM WAT on August 24, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will Dangote Refinery announce another reduction in the official ex-depot price of petrol before 11:59 PM WAT on August 18, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will transport fares increase by at least 10% in Lagos, Abuja, or Kano before August 31, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will any major fuel marketer in Nigeria increase petrol pump prices by at least ₦50/litre before August 31, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will NNPC Retail, MRS, or TotalEnergies increase the nationwide pump price of PMS by at least ₦10 per litre before 11:59 PM WAT on August 7, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will the NMDPRA issue an official statement regarding the Dangote Refinery pricing dispute before August 1, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will at least three of the following marketers—NNPC Retail, MRS, Ardova, TotalEnergies, and Mobil—display pump prices above ₦1,000 per litre at Lagos stations before 11:59 PM WAT on August 10, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will petrol queues be reported for at least three consecutive days in Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt, or Kano by at least three major Nigerian news outlets before 11:59 PM WAT on August 10, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will the Senate Committee investigating the ₦210 trillion NNPC accounting discrepancies hold another public hearing before 11:59 PM WAT on July 31, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will petrol prices in Nigeria decrease before 1 August 2026? — outcome YES
- Will Dangote Refinery's reported shift toward dollar-denominated petrol sales trigger a formal response from the Federal Government or regulators before 28 July 2026? — outcome YES
- Will Dangote Petroleum Refinery announce a reduction in its petrol ex-depot price before 11:59 PM WAT on July 14, 2026? — outcome NO
- Will Dangote Petroleum Refinery announce or complete a new shipment of jet fuel to Europe before 11:59 PM WAT on July 24, 2026? — outcome YES
- Will the average pump price of petrol in Lagos fall by at least 5% from its 6 July 2026 level before 11:59 PM WAT on 21 July 2026? — outcome NO
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