Will the White House or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Pakistan officially announce a confirmed start date for a “second round” of US–Iran peace negotiations in Islamabad on Saturday, April 18, 2026?

Outcome: NO

How this forecast is settled

Recent developments show ongoing diplomatic engagement and mediation efforts, with indications that further talks are likely. However, no official date has been confirmed yet, and announcements of this scale typically follow agreement on key terms and coordination between multiple parties.

Resolution

NO, neither the White House nor the Pakistani Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued an official confirmation of a "Round 2" start date by the Saturday, April 18 deadline. Instead, the diplomatic channel went dark. The 12:00 PM (WAT) deadline passed with a "deafening silence" from both Islamabad and Washington, triggering a resurgence of "War Risk" pricing in global markets as the diplomatic window appears to have closed without a scheduled continuation.

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