Will the Nigerian Meteorological Agency issue a flood-risk, heavy-rainfall, or flash-flood warning affecting at least five states before August 7, 2026?

Outcome: YES

How this forecast is settled

Will NiMet issue a flood or heavy-rain warning covering at least five states before August 7? Given Nigeria’s rainy season and NiMet’s routine advisory practices, this is a strong possibility.

Resolution

Yes, the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) did issue a flash-flood risk alert affecting multiple states before August 7, 2026.On August 1, 2026, NiMet released its Probable Flash Flood Risk Alert for the first dekad of August (1–10 August 2026), identifying 21 states and the FCT at risk. Additionally, on August 6, 2026, NiMet updated its warnings to cover a total of 27 states due to heavy rainfall and heavily saturated soils.The alert identified 21 areas/states as likely to be affected, including Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Bauchi, Bayelsa, Benue, Cross River, Delta, Ebonyi, Edo, Enugu, FCT, Imo, Jigawa, Kogi, Kwara, Lagos, Nasarawa, Ondo, Plateau, Rivers and Taraba.

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