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Will the naira officially break below the ₦1,350/$ support level on the NAFEM window this Monday as banks scramble for liquidity?
Outcome: NO
How this forecast is settled
Liquidity tightening measures can strengthen the naira in the short term by reducing supply and stabilizing demand. However, breaking a key support level typically requires sustained pressure, strong FX inflows, and consistent market confidence, not just short-term liquidity effects.
Resolution
No, the Naira did not officially break below the ₦1,350/$ support level on the NAFEM window yesterday, Monday, April 13, 2026. While the currency appreciated slightly due to the "liquidity squeeze," it hit a resistance wall and closed the trading day at ₦1,356.89, missing the breakout target by approximately ₦7.00
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