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Will the average retail price of cooking gas (LPG) increase above current August levels in Nigeria before August 25, 2026?
Outcome: YES
How this forecast is settled
Will cooking gas become more expensive than current August prices before August 25? While short-term fluctuations are possible, a nationwide increase above current levels appears less likely unless there is a major supply, FX, or logistics shock.
Resolution
The August 25 Spike: Major liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) depots raised wholesale rates by nearly 7.3% on Tuesday, August 25, 2026, putting temporary upward pressure on retail pump prices
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