Will at least 24 State Houses of Assembly approve the State Police constitutional amendment before July 30, 2026?

Outcome: NO

How this forecast is settled

Will 24 or more state assemblies approve the state police amendment before July 30? Achieving that level of approval requires broad support and fast legislative action across Nigeria.

Resolution

No, at least 24 State Houses of Assembly did not approve the State Police constitutional amendment before July 30, 2026. The House of Representatives only passed President Bola Tinubu’s updated Executive Bill on July 23–24, 2026, meaning the bill was still being prepared for transmission as of late July and early August 2026, making a 24-state approval before July 30 impossible.

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